2041 is Fast Approaching
The year 2041 is ingrained in the Psyche of all Newfoundlanders and Labradoreans. That date, so long awaited, is when the current Upper Churchill power contract between Hydro Quebec and the Province of Newfoundland and Labrador will expire.
It may seem a long way off, but in the grand scheme of things, it isn’t that far away.
The year is tossed about in the province like a distant dream. Every so often you can hear it drift on the wind. The longing for time to fly can be captured in snippets of conversation from one part of the province or another. On that day “have not will be no more”. Finally poor old Newfoundland and Labrador will get its rightful dues.
But will we?
Everyone just assumes that when that magic date arrives huge sums of money will begin to flow into the province and all will be right with the world again.
Are we so sure this will happen?
Hydro Quebec has contracts to sell much of this power to the U.S.
The Feds refused to force Quebec into permitting an uninhibited power corridor through the province in the 1960’s even though they had every right to. Will they force Quebec to allow it in a few decades?
Do we expect that Hydro Quebec will just sit idly by and suddenly allow us to wheel power through the province?
Do we believe that in one fell swoop this corporation will simply remove a billion dollars a year from their bottom line without a fight?
What about those U.S. contracts? What if they extend beyond 2041, or what if the U.S. for whatever reason, doesn’t want to pay our price at the time?
Do we think we can just pull the switch and shut off power to the eastern seaboard without suffering major repercussions?
I pose these questions for one simple reason. The same reason people have asked questions since time began. I simply don’t know the answers.
I am not trying to make any subtle comment on the situation, nor am I playing devil’s advocate. I simply don’t know the answers and that bothers me. Worse than a bother, in fact it sickens me because it leads me question what will actually happen in that fateful year, or more likely in the years leading up to 2041.
Have you ever had that sinking feeling where you know something bad is about to happen but you just can't put your finger on it? As a result, there is nothing you can do about it either. It doesn't feel good.
Will another deal be brokered and signed? Will this one be a “Great Deal” for Newfoundland and Labrador, or will the powers that be use every trick in the book to see to it that the status quo continues? Will the Country’s political leaders ensure that the apple cart is not upset, so to speak?
The only thing I’m sure of is that I’m not sure of anything.
What do you think? I’d love to hear your thoughts whatever they might be.
All I ask is that you don’t kid yourself into thinking we will simply wake up some sunny morning and suddenly start reaping all of the revenues now going to Quebec Hydro. If you do, I have only one question for you:
What colour is the sky in your world?